India’s Bilateral Trade with Neighbouring Countries and Market Outlook

17 June 2024
India Bilateral Trade

India got a new regime and so the challenges in bilateral trade with neighbouring countries will also increase. Recently, leaders of Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Maldives, Seychelles, Bhutan and Mauritius attended the swearing-in ceremony of the new government. What is India’s trade with neighbouring nations? What will be the outlook of bilateral trade relations with these countries? Let’s try to understand by analysing crucial statistics.


1.     Bangladesh


India and Bangladesh have deep historical ties rooted in India’s role in Bangladesh’s liberation. Today, they share a robust trade relationship, which amounted to $26,061 million in 2023, with India exporting salt, sulphur, earth stones, and cotton the most at Chapter level. Whereas, Bangladesh exports apparel and clothing the most to India. India-Bangladesh bilateral trade data gives you detailed market outlook.

India-Bangladesh Trade Outlook

India’s Imports from Bangladesh

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

India’s Exports to Bangladesh

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

Total Imports

1,866

516

Total Exports

24,195

4,371

HS Code 62

415

118

HS Code 25

12,971

66

HS Code 61

231

56

HS Code 52

2,407

1,024

HS Code 53

217

68

HS Code 27

1,300

944

HS Code 88

176

3

HS Code 23

825

228

HS Code 63

146

44

HS Code 87

706

216

HS Code 42

100

21

HS Code 84

632

191

HS Code 64

77

18

HS Code 07

505

95

HS Code 15

65

13

HS Code 29

407

135

HS Code 03

45

21

HS Code 17

388

57

HS Code 39

38

13

HS Code 10

325

11

 

*****Value $ Million

 

*****Product Description of Every HS Code is Given Below

 

2.     Sri Lanka

The bilateral trade between India and Sri Lanka was valued at $5,254 million in 2023. India largely exports ships, boats & floating structures and sugar to Sri Lanka, while Sri Lanka exports edible fruits and nuts and aircraft, spacecraft, and parts. Future discussions between India and Sri Lanka are expected to focus on enhancing maritime security cooperation, settle maritime disputes, and strengthen economic cooperation.

India-Sri Lanka Trade Outlook

India’s Imports from Sri Lanka

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

India’s Exports to Sri Lanka

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

Total Imports

1,299

330

Total Exports

3,955

1,556

HS Code 08

446

26

HS Code 89

479

93

HS Code 88

122

92

HS Code 17

385

60

HS Code 09

118

15

HS Code 30

302

86

HS Code 23

106

36

HS Code 52

279

104

HS Code 85

39

13

HS Code 27

254

256

HS Code 22

37

15

HS Code 60

233

82

HS Code 62

32

15

HS Code 84

172

96

HS Code 89

31

4

HS Code 48

142

41

HS Code 94

31

9

HS Code 09

133

40

HS Code 40

29

7

HS Code 07

131

33

 

******Value $ Million

*****Product Description of Every HS Code is Given Below

 

3.     Nepal


India and Nepal share an open-border relationship, reflecting their deep historical and cultural ties. In 2023, India-Nepal bilateral trade amounted to $8,056 million, in which India’s exports to Nepal were more than that of imports. India exported mineral fuels and oils and iron and steel the most to Nepal, and imported oilseeds and edible fruits and nuts from Nepal in 2023. The two countries also share deep cultural and religious ties, with a thriving tourism industry. Energy and water-sharing disputes have in the past been a sticking point.

India-Nepal Trade Outlook

India’s Imports from Nepal

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

India’s Exports to Nepal

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

Total Imports

67

274

Total Exports

7,989

2,399

HS Code 09

12

28

HS Code 27

2,421

812

HS Code 15

8

30

HS Code 72

927

191

HS Code 72

8

33

HS Code 87

459

104

HS Code 55

6

25

HS Code 84

418

160

HS Code 53

4

11

HS Code 10

401

106

HS Code 22

4

23

HS Code 85

366

117

HS Code 39

3

11

HS Code 39

265

95

HS Code 44

3

22

HS Code 30

247

84

HS Code 23

3

8

HS Code 23

166

52

HS Code 14

2

9

HS Code 73

123

36

 

******Value $ Million

*****Product Description of Every HS Code is Given Below

 

4.     Maldives


India and the Maldives have maintained close ties over the years, but recently relations between them were deteriorated due to row over India’s Lakshadweep Islands. Now it looks India-Maldives relationships are expected to improve after the recent Maldives President visit to India. Trade data shows India’s exports to Maldives valued at $651,385 thousand, and imports from Maldives valued at $70,304 thousand in 2023. Apart from improving strained ties, upcoming discussions will likely be centred around issues such as climate change and sustainable development.

India-Maldives Trade Outlook

India’s Imports from Maldives

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

India’s Exports to Maldives

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

Total Imports

70,304

3,934

Total Exports

651,385

510,554

HS Code 88

56,941

-

HS Code 27

90,637

4,963

HS Code 72

6,536

1,779

HS Code 84

70,095

19,651

HS Code 74

4,170

1,488

HS Code 72

51,017

15,365

HS Code 76

1,335

273

HS Code 25

45,909

18,352

HS Code 85

975

228

HS Code 30

34,548

11,082

HS Code 27

221

68

HS Code 73

33,941

12,067

HS Code 84

57

-

HS Code 39

32,032

8,825

HS Code 47

29

11

HS Code 85

30,871

14,252

HS Code 96

7

000.8

HS Code 07

19,911

9,975

HS Code 90

4

-

HS Code 10

17,992

9,417

 

*****Value $ Thousand

*****Product Description of Every HS Code is Given Below

 

5.     Seychelles


India and Seychelles share a strategic relationship, particularly in maritime security and environmental cooperation. Located north of Madagascar, Seychelles is among the most strategically important archipelagos in the Indian Ocean. Trade between them valued at $92,512 thousand in 2023. India’s majorly exports vehicles other than railway or tramway to Seychelles and imports iron and steel from Seychelles.

India-Seychelles Trade Outlook

India’s Imports from Seychelles

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

India’s Exports to Seychelles

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

Total Imports

4,090

840

Total Exports

88,422

29,925

HS Code 72

1,764

417

HS Code 87

22,170

9,941

HS Code 74

926

135

HS Code 73

8,648

1,665

HS Code 76

485

190

HS Code 10

7,349

3,323

HS Code 84

364

2

HS Code 30

5,280

2,106

HS Code 85

329

33

HS Code 84

4,906

953

HS Code 94

102

3

HS Code 85

3,918

611

HS Code 39

27

3

HS Code 39

3,284

894

HS Code 40

27

1

HS Code 89

2,630

-

HS Code 69

18

7

HS Code 25

2,475

523

HS Code 44

17

9

HS Code 69

1,961

382

 

*****Value $ Thousand

*****Product Description of Every HS Code is Given Below

 

6.     Bhutan


India and Bhutan are what one can call, all weather friends with significant economic and cultural exchanges. In 2023, the bilateral trade between India and Bhutan valued at $14,70,361 thousand. India being a major partner in Bhutan’s hydroelectric power sector. Future discussions will likely focus on expanding economic cooperation through new trade agreements.

India-Bhutan Trade Outlook

India’s Imports from Bhutan

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

India’s Exports to Bhutan

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

Total Imports

424,979

103,316

Total Exports

1,045,382

350,377

HS Code 72

207,099

60,873

HS Code 27

214,401

82,991

HS Code 88

102,357

40,326

HS Code 85

95,820

32,167

HS Code 25

87,064

32,456

HS Code 72

84,849

18,264

HS Code 22

11,071

4,841

HS Code 84

81,062

31,539

HS Code 28

8,139

2,853

HS Code 39

78,818

13,449

HS Code 44

3,049

976

HS Code 44

44,740

14,981

HS Code 09

2,103

372

HS Code 73

36,696

12,469

HS Code 19

1,107

232

HS Code 10

29,758

10,611

HS Code 20

928

313

HS Code 15

24,343

7,365

HS Code 07

581

9

HS Code 04

23,246

7,992

 

*****Value $ Thousand

*****Product Description of Every HS Code is Given Below

 

7.     Mauritius


India and Mauritius enjoy close relations, underpinned by strong cultural and economic ties. Bilateral trade of India and Mauritius in 2023 was $7,02,156 thousand with industries – mineral fuels & oils, and iron and steel. Future talks will focus on enhancing strategic partnership in sectors like digital technology and the blue economy (economy activity associated with the sea).

India-Mauritius Trade Outlook

India’s Imports from Mauritius

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

India’s Exports to Mauritius

2023

2024 (Jan-Apr)

Total Imports

55,504

14,749

Total Exports

646,652

234,597

HS Code 72

23,168

5,462

HS Code 27

130,067

68,949

HS Code 90

14,398

3,110

HS Code 30

71,928

19,452

HS Code 76

5,318

2,193

HS Code 87

61,438

21,160

HS Code 74

3,225

743

HS Code 10

52,644

17,732

HS Code 85

2,798

501

HS Code 62

35,320

12,500

HS Code 44

1,797

1,229

HS Code 52

35,025

14,928

HS Code 47

1,233

506

HS Code 85

33,632

6,994

HS Code 12

653

247

HS Code 84

29,482

8,843

HS Code 26

516

45

HS Code 03

16,853

4,746

HS Code 84

501

14

HS Code 02

12,340

4,140

 

*****Value $ Thousand

*****Product Description of Every HS Code is Given Below

 


Old Problems


India’s new regime must keep a close watch on two ongoing wars – Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas that will impact country’s foreign policy, though India continues to benefit from a Western gang-up against Russia in terms of oil import and being a friend who can talk to both parties and most players around it.


The Israel-Hamas war will adversely impact the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEEC). This region is crucial for India’s energy requirements, investment needs, and connectivity plans, besides being home to the largest number of Non-Resident Indians (NRIs) anywhere in the world.


China’s Behaviour


China’s geopolitical ambition in India’s backyard is growing with New Delhi’s struggle to keep some of its neighbours aligned with its core interests. The political leadership of India and Chins will most likely to make another effort to resolve the crisis. On one hand, it is unlikely that China will restore the status quo ante at the border, thus allowing both countries to channel their energies to focus on other issues. On the other hand, India is still majorly dependent on China for the imports of various commodities.


That means the Indian economy needs to grow at a higher pace, and India should speed up policy changes that will help New Delhi play a larger role in an emerging world order.


In short, India’s foreign policy priorities would be under new regime:


Indo-Pacific partnership will continue to flourish.

 India-US partnership will certainly witness a new phase of the relationship. India needs higher foreign investments and technology from the United States as India’s ambition is to become self-reliant in the semiconductor industry.

India will continue with new FTAs and would like to conclude the one with the United Kingdom, the European Union, Bangladesh, among others.

Regional integration such as the BIMSTEC is going to observe a higher pace. The sixth BIMSTEC Summit is going to take place in Bangkok in September 2024.

The India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) is a variable alternative to avoid the Bab EI-Mandab strait, which is a major chokepoint for maritime traffic.


List Of HS Codes Mentioned In Above Tables With Their Product Descriptions

HS Code

Product Description

02

Meat and edible meat offal

03

Fish and crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic invertebrates

04

Dairy produce; birds´ eggs; natural honey; edible products of animal origin, not elsewhere specified or included

07

Edible vegetables and certain roots and tubers

08

Edible fruit and nuts; peel of citrus fruit or melons

09

Coffee, tea, maté and spices

10

Cereals

12

Oil seeds and oleaginous fruits; miscellaneous grains, seeds and fruit; industrial or medicinal plants; straw and fodder

14

Vegetable plaiting materials; vegetable products not elsewhere specified or included

15

Animal or vegetable fats and oils and their cleavage products; prepared edible fats; animal or vegetable waxes

17

Sugars and sugar confectionery

19

Preparations of cereals, flour, starch or milk; bakers' wares

20

Preparations of vegetables, fruit, nuts or other parts of plants

22

Beverages, spirits and vinegar

23

Residues and waste from the food industries; prepared animal feed

25

Salt; sulphur; earths and stone; plastering materials, lime and cement

26

Ores, slag and ash

27

Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes

28

Inorganic chemicals; organic or inorganic compounds of precious metals, of rare-earth metals, of radioactive elements or of isotopes

29

Organic chemicals

30

Pharmaceutical products

39

Plastics and articles thereof

40

Rubber and articles thereof

42

Articles of leather; saddlery and harness; travel goods, handbags and similar containers; articles of animal gut (other than silkworm gut)

44

Wood and articles of wood; wood charcoal

47

Pulp of wood or of other fibrous cellulosic material; recovered (waste and scrap) paper or paperboard

48

Paper and paperboard; articles of paper pulp, of paper or of paperboard

52

Cotton

53

Other vegetable textile fibers; paper yarn and woven fabrics of paper yarn

55

Man-made staple fibers

60

Knitted or crocheted fabrics

61

Articles of apparel and clothing accessories, knitted or crocheted

62

Articles of apparel and clothing accessories, not knitted or crocheted

63

Other made-up textile articles; needlecraft sets; worn clothing and worn textile articles; rags

64

Footwear, gaiters and the like; parts of such articles

69

Ceramic products

72

Iron and steel

73

Articles of iron and steel

74

Copper and articles thereof

76

Aluminum and articles thereof

84

Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof

85

Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television image and sound recorders and reproducers, and parts and accessories of such articles

87

Vehicles other than railway or tramway rolling stock, and parts and accessories thereof

88

Aircraft, spacecraft, and parts thereof

89

Ships, boats and floating structures

90

Optical, photographic, cinematographic, measuring, checking, precision, medical or surgical instruments and apparatus; parts and accessories thereof

94

Furniture; bedding, mattresses, mattress supports, cushions and similar stuffed furnishings; lamps and lighting fittings, not elsewhere specified or included; illuminated signs, illuminated nameplates and the like; prefabricated buildings

96

Miscellaneous manufactured articles

 


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